Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004656 0.004907 0.005166 0.005452 0.005759 0.006081 0.006444
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004275 0.004655 0.005064 0.005537 0.006073 0.006664 0.007367
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003989 0.004438 0.004936 0.005532 0.006230 0.007028 0.008017
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003750 0.004243 0.004802 0.005488 0.006314 0.007287 0.008534
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003522 0.004039 0.004637 0.005385 0.006307 0.007421 0.008891
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003339 0.003873 0.004501 0.005303 0.006311 0.007557 0.009245
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003224 0.003782 0.004447 0.005311 0.006421 0.007824 0.009774
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003025 0.003577 0.004244 0.005120 0.006263 0.007732 0.009814
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002942 0.003512 0.004209 0.005138 0.006372 0.007989 0.010337
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002921 0.003521 0.004266 0.005275 0.006641 0.008470 0.011198
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002815 0.003418 0.004173 0.005209 0.006631 0.008567 0.011512
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002735 0.003345 0.004116 0.005188 0.006679 0.008744 0.011949
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002642 0.003252 0.004032 0.005128 0.006672 0.008846 0.012289
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002608 0.003236 0.004049 0.005206 0.006864 0.009244 0.013109
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002545 0.003180 0.004008 0.005201 0.006934 0.009466 0.013664
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002474 0.003108 0.003944 0.005160 0.006949 0.009602 0.014088
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002387 0.003014 0.003845 0.005065 0.006879 0.009602 0.014284
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002312 0.002933 0.003762 0.004990 0.006833 0.009637 0.014538
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002269 0.002896 0.003738 0.004998 0.006914 0.009872 0.015151
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002168 0.002773 0.003592 0.004822 0.006704 0.009633 0.014913
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002134 0.002745 0.003577 0.004839 0.006793 0.009880 0.015558
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002137 0.002767 0.003634 0.004965 0.007058 0.010430 0.016797
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002081 0.002705 0.003569 0.004904 0.007022 0.010473 0.017093